Afghanistan vs India analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
53%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afghanistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
AFG
0 - 4
KWT
11%
19%
70%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
QAT
8 - 1
AFG
90%
8%
2%
|
44 | 81 | 37 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
MNG
0 - 1
AFG
20%
20%
60%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
AFG
1 - 0
MNG
64%
19%
16%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
PHL
2 - 1
AFG
43%
23%
35%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
India
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
SYR
1 - 0
IND
69%
18%
13%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
IND
0 - 3
UZB
12%
19%
69%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
AUS
2 - 0
IND
86%
11%
4%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
IND
0 - 3
QAT
11%
19%
70%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
KWT
0 - 1
IND
69%
18%
12%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |