Affing vs Gersthofen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
40%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Affing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
SON
5 - 1
AFF
52%
22%
25%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
SCH
3 - 1
AFF
73%
16%
11%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
HAH
1 - 0
AFF
50%
22%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
AFF
0 - 5
JRE
37%
24%
40%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
UNT
2 - 1
AFF
58%
21%
21%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Gersthofen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
GER
3 - 0
LAN
24%
22%
54%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
GER
0 - 2
AIC
29%
24%
47%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
SCH
0 - 1
GER
58%
21%
21%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
GER
2 - 2
DEF
60%
21%
20%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
GER
2 - 1
SON
33%
24%
43%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |