AFC Wimbledon vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
46.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1985 |
TOT
2 - 0
AFC
97%
2%
1%
|
50 | 87 | 37 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1979 |
AFC
1 - 2
SWI
45%
22%
33%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1986 |
SUN
0 - 1
GRI
55%
25%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1986 |
LEE
1 - 1
SUN
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1986 |
SUN
3 - 0
BBU
56%
25%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1986 |
BAR
1 - 0
SUN
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1986 |
SUN
1 - 1
MIL
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |