AFC Wimbledon vs Southend United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
37.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
AFC
2 - 3
STE
51%
25%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
AFC
1 - 2
HAR
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
SOU
0 - 1
AFC
59%
24%
17%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
LUT
0 - 1
AFC
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
MKD
3 - 1
AFC
67%
20%
14%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
PLY
2 - 0
SOU
32%
28%
40%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
CUM
1 - 1
SOU
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
SOU
0 - 1
AFC
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
SOU
2 - 0
STE
54%
26%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
SOU
1 - 2
WAL
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |