AFC Wimbledon vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
52.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
SOU
1 - 4
AFC
34%
27%
40%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
AFC
3 - 0
LEY
40%
25%
36%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
AFC
3 - 2
ROC
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
POS
3 - 2
AFC
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
AFC
1 - 3
BRO
32%
28%
41%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
OPA
0 - 0
GIL
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
OXF
2 - 2
OPA
41%
24%
35%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
DON
1 - 2
OPA
41%
26%
34%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
OPA
1 - 0
BOL
79%
15%
6%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
OPA
0 - 4
SOU
28%
26%
46%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |