AFC Wimbledon vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
33.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
HAR
0 - 0
AFC
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
AFC
2 - 0
GIL
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 0
OXF
13%
17%
70%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 2
REA
19%
22%
59%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 3
IPS
20%
23%
58%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
GIL
1 - 0
ROC
39%
26%
34%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
AFC
2 - 0
GIL
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SOU
0 - 1
GIL
27%
25%
49%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
GIL
2 - 3
CRY
11%
20%
69%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
GIL
1 - 2
OPA
18%
22%
60%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |