AFC Wimbledon vs Gateshead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
21.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2009 |
SAL
0 - 2
AFC
25%
26%
49%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
KID
0 - 1
AFC
46%
26%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2009 |
AFC
3 - 0
EBB
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
AFC
0 - 1
YOR
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 2
AFC
29%
26%
45%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2009 |
GAT
1 - 3
MAN
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
GAT
2 - 1
CRA
46%
26%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2009 |
YOR
1 - 0
GAT
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
GAT
3 - 0
GRA
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2009 |
BRE
5 - 2
GAT
56%
22%
23%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |