National League Playoff Semi-finals
Global 8-1
AFC Wimbledon vs Fleetwood Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2011 |
FLE
0 - 2
AFC
42%
24%
34%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
AFC
2 - 1
GRI
57%
23%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 0
AFC
26%
24%
50%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
AFC
2 - 1
MAN
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
HIS
0 - 4
AFC
13%
20%
67%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Fleetwood Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2011 |
FLE
0 - 2
AFC
42%
24%
34%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
CAM
0 - 1
FLE
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
FLE
1 - 0
BAR
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
KID
2 - 1
FLE
45%
26%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
FLE
3 - 1
ALT
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | +1 |