AFC Wimbledon vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
AFC
3 - 0
MKD
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
FLE
49%
25%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 2
IPS
17%
22%
62%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CHE
0 - 1
AFC
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
WYC
35%
24%
41%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
STA
0 - 1
CRE
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CRE
1 - 0
MOR
48%
24%
28%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
BPO
4 - 1
CRE
71%
17%
12%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BRO
1 - 2
CRE
47%
26%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
CRE
5 - 1
LIV
43%
22%
35%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +2 |