AFC Wimbledon vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
38.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
AFC
2 - 2
FLE
46%
26%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
AFC
3 - 2
CRE
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
OPA
2 - 1
AFC
56%
25%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
SUT
1 - 0
AFC
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 0
GUI
78%
15%
8%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
BOL
2 - 2
CHE
41%
28%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
GIL
0 - 2
CHE
34%
28%
39%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
CHE
2 - 1
STF
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
CHE
1 - 0
GIL
49%
23%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
GIL
1 - 1
CHE
40%
25%
35%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |