AFC Wimbledon vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 0
AFC
45%
28%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
AFC
3 - 0
MKD
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
FLE
49%
25%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 2
IPS
17%
22%
62%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CHE
0 - 1
AFC
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
STA
2 - 2
POR
37%
26%
38%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
STA
0 - 1
CRE
35%
25%
40%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NOT
2 - 0
STA
68%
18%
14%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
STA
1 - 4
STO
12%
17%
71%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
STA
1 - 1
COL
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |