AFC Eskilstuna vs FBK Karlstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
10º
15º
12º
23
5º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 68 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 65 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 65 |
3º
|
41.5% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 48 |
4º
|
42.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 45 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 44 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 44 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 43 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 37 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 36 |
10º
|
31% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 34 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 33 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 30 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 28 |
14º
|
26% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 26 |
15º
|
39% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 22 |
16º
|
65% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
67.5% | 36% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
19% | 27.5% |
|
Relegation
|
13.5% | 36.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Eskilstuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 1
KAL
65%
20%
14%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
TAB
2 - 0
AFC
25%
25%
50%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
IFS
2 - 3
AFC
32%
25%
43%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 1
SOL
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
VAS
0 - 1
AFC
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
FBK Karlstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
FBK
3 - 5
ASS
18%
21%
61%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 2
FBK
69%
17%
14%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +2 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
ORE
2 - 1
FBK
64%
20%
17%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
FBK
0 - 1
HTF
31%
26%
44%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
STO
3 - 0
FBK
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |