AFC Eskilstuna vs Assyriska FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
9º
15º
9º
22
4º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
35 | 65 |
1º
|
49% | |
|
1º
|
39 | 64 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 58 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 47 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 46 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 44 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 42 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 40 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
16 | 38 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 38 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 37 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 37 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 32 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 29 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 24 |
15º
|
38% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 21 |
16º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
86.5% | 95.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
5.5% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Eskilstuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PIT
2 - 1
AFC
35%
26%
38%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 0
KAR
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ASS
3 - 1
AFC
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
AFC
3 - 0
FBK
72%
16%
12%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 1
SOL
49%
23%
28%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Assyriska FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
HTF
5 - 0
ASS
32%
24%
43%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ASS
2 - 1
VAS
33%
25%
42%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
PIT
1 - 1
ASS
46%
24%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ASS
1 - 1
FCJ
65%
19%
17%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ASS
0 - 4
HTF
54%
21%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |