AFC Telford United vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
41.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Telford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
AFC
0 - 2
WRE
26%
27%
47%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
STO
2 - 2
AFC
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
WRE
4 - 1
AFC
71%
19%
11%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
KIN
3 - 1
AFC
52%
24%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
HYD
2 - 1
AFC
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
MAC
2 - 2
SOU
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 1
HYD
48%
24%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
SOU
3 - 2
MAC
59%
21%
20%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2012 |
SOU
3 - 1
STO
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
STO
1 - 1
SOU
46%
23%
32%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |