National League North Playoff Semi-finals
Global 3-2
AFC Telford United vs Nuneaton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
32.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Telford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2011 |
NUN
1 - 1
AFC
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
AFC
3 - 0
TOW
64%
21%
16%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
GLO
2 - 2
AFC
25%
27%
48%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
AFC
4 - 1
VAU
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
HIN
1 - 1
AFC
29%
27%
44%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Nuneaton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2011 |
NUN
1 - 1
AFC
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ALF
3 - 2
NUN
63%
21%
17%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
NUN
1 - 1
BOS
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
NUN
2 - 1
WOR
61%
23%
17%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
NUN
1 - 2
GAI
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | -1 |