AFC Telford United vs North Ferriby United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
56.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Telford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
HIS
0 - 1
AFC
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
AFC
1 - 3
HED
23%
24%
53%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
AFC
0 - 0
WOR
51%
25%
25%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
AFC
4 - 1
COL
42%
26%
33%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BRA
3 - 1
AFC
58%
22%
19%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
North Ferriby United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 0
RUN
73%
17%
11%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
VAU
0 - 1
NOR
27%
25%
49%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
COL
0 - 3
NOR
22%
23%
56%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
BUX
1 - 4
NOR
26%
23%
51%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 1
ALT
45%
24%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |