AFC Telford United vs Chorley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Telford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
DAR
1 - 2
AFC
54%
23%
22%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
GLO
4 - 1
AFC
40%
26%
34%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 1
SOU
47%
25%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
AFC
0 - 1
ALF
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
BOS
3 - 2
AFC
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
WIG
2 - 3
CHO
81%
14%
5%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
BRA
0 - 0
CHO
41%
23%
37%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
CHO
0 - 2
KID
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
SOU
1 - 0
CHO
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
CHO
1 - 0
YOR
20%
23%
57%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +2 |