AFC Telford United vs Basingstoke Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Telford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 1
AFC
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
AFC
2 - 1
ALT
39%
23%
38%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 1
AFC
48%
25%
28%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
AFC
0 - 1
BRO
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
AFC
3 - 0
SPE
46%
23%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Basingstoke Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 1
STA
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 1
AFC
48%
25%
28%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 2
CHM
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
HAR
1 - 4
BAS
24%
25%
51%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 1
HAR
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | -1 |