AFC Telford United vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Telford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
BOS
3 - 2
AFC
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 0
GAT
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
LEI
0 - 0
AFC
21%
21%
58%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
BLY
1 - 1
AFC
27%
23%
50%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
AFC
3 - 0
BRA
27%
25%
48%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
ALF
1 - 1
SPE
25%
22%
53%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2020 |
CUR
1 - 1
ALF
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
COA
1 - 2
ALF
56%
22%
23%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
ALF
2 - 0
ALT
19%
21%
60%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
ALF
2 - 0
CHE
25%
23%
53%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |