AFC Telford United vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
43%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Telford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
BOS
0 - 1
AFC
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 3
DAR
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
WOR
0 - 1
AFC
26%
28%
46%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
AFC
2 - 2
HIN
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
BLY
3 - 0
AFC
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
ALF
2 - 1
BLY
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
WOR
0 - 0
ALF
19%
24%
57%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
ALF
1 - 2
MAN
60%
21%
19%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 1
ALF
33%
24%
43%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
CAM
3 - 6
ALF
33%
25%
42%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +2 |