AFC Sudbury vs Kettering Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
58.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
STA
1 - 0
YEL
56%
20%
24%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
YEL
0 - 0
HAL
28%
25%
47%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
HAR
1 - 0
YEL
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
YEL
1 - 2
BAN
56%
21%
22%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
ROY
3 - 0
YEL
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Kettering Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
KET
1 - 2
BRO
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
RED
3 - 2
KET
17%
21%
62%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -2 |
| 01 Jan. 2025 |
HAR
2 - 1
KET
27%
24%
49%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
STR
3 - 3
KET
30%
24%
46%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
KET
3 - 1
BIG
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |