AFC Sudbury vs Dartford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
67.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
YEL
0 - 0
CRA
34%
22%
45%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
YEL
1 - 0
CHE
35%
23%
42%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ROM
0 - 2
YEL
28%
23%
49%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
STO
0 - 1
YEL
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
YEL
0 - 0
STO
42%
22%
37%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dartford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
DAR
1 - 0
HUN
67%
20%
14%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
MAI
0 - 3
DAR
33%
24%
43%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
WEL
0 - 6
DAR
14%
20%
66%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
DAR
5 - 1
HYT
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
DAR
1 - 1
TON
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |