AFC Sudbury vs Colchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
50.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
BRE
3 - 0
YEL
23%
24%
53%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
YEL
2 - 0
FEL
72%
17%
12%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
YEL
4 - 2
GRE
78%
14%
9%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
YEL
3 - 1
DAR
13%
19%
68%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | +6 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
YEL
0 - 0
CRA
34%
22%
45%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
COL
2 - 1
SCU
57%
23%
21%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
COL
1 - 3
SUT
31%
28%
41%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
POR
3 - 0
COL
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
COL
1 - 1
BRO
45%
26%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
COL
1 - 0
TOW
28%
26%
46%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |