Humpolec vs Vrchovina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
61%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
7º
14º
11º
34
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 64 |
1º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
34 | 61 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 60 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 55 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 55 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 51 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 48 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 38 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 36 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 36 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 35 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 35 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 33 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 32 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 27 |
15º
|
42% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 8 |
16º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 23.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
79.5% | 76.5% |
|
Relegation
|
20.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Humpolec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ARN
0 - 0
HUM
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
HUM
1 - 4
LIB
49%
21%
29%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SLA
0 - 3
HUM
21%
21%
58%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
VEL
2 - 1
HUM
72%
17%
11%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
HUM
4 - 2
TEB
30%
22%
49%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +3 |
Matches
Vrchovina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
FCK
2 - 1
VRC
38%
24%
38%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
VRC
4 - 1
VEL
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
TEB
0 - 2
VRC
32%
22%
47%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
VRC
0 - 3
TBB
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
TSL
2 - 1
VRC
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |