AFC Hornchurch vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
HOR
1 - 2
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
LEA
1 - 2
HOR
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
HOR
2 - 0
ENF
30%
24%
46%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
BOG
2 - 0
HOR
58%
21%
22%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
HOR
3 - 0
COR
43%
25%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
KIN
1 - 2
WIN
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
WIN
1 - 2
WOR
29%
23%
48%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2019 |
WIN
2 - 2
BIS
33%
24%
44%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
FOL
2 - 2
WIN
73%
16%
12%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
WIN
1 - 2
TON
35%
25%
40%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -2 |