AFC Hornchurch vs Welling United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SLO
2 - 1
HOR
51%
23%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
HOR
1 - 0
STA
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
HOR
0 - 1
EAS
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HAM
1 - 3
HOR
25%
23%
52%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BIL
2 - 0
HOR
26%
21%
53%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WEL
4 - 1
FAR
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BAT
1 - 0
WEL
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
WEL
1 - 0
AVE
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
WEL
0 - 3
SUT
21%
22%
57%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
WEL
1 - 0
EBB
28%
22%
50%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |