AFC Hornchurch vs Welling United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
56.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
HOR
3 - 0
BAS
41%
28%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
WES
1 - 0
HOR
50%
23%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
HAY
1 - 3
HOR
62%
20%
18%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
HOR
1 - 0
EAS
32%
27%
42%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
HOR
2 - 3
BIS
31%
26%
43%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
WOK
0 - 1
WEL
36%
24%
40%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
WEL
3 - 0
HAY
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2012 |
WEL
3 - 1
BRO
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
EAS
1 - 3
WEL
28%
25%
48%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2012 |
WEL
5 - 2
BIL
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |