AFC Hornchurch vs Staines Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
TON
1 - 0
HOR
49%
23%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
HOR
0 - 2
MAI
42%
27%
31%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
HOR
1 - 1
SUT
31%
28%
41%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
EAS
1 - 1
HOR
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
HOR
1 - 1
TON
33%
27%
40%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Staines Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
WHI
0 - 3
STA
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
STA
1 - 3
EAS
31%
24%
45%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
BAT
0 - 1
STA
61%
22%
18%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
STA
0 - 2
EAS
42%
24%
33%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
SAL
3 - 1
STA
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |