AFC Hornchurch vs Salisbury City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
57.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
HAV
5 - 2
HOR
49%
23%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
WEL
4 - 0
HOR
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
HOR
1 - 0
BIL
35%
27%
38%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
HOR
0 - 3
WEL
18%
25%
57%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
HOR
3 - 0
BAS
41%
28%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Salisbury City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
SAL
1 - 0
SUT
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
SAL
5 - 3
EAS
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
EAS
1 - 2
SAL
24%
24%
52%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
SAL
3 - 2
CHM
48%
26%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
MAI
0 - 1
SAL
28%
25%
47%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |