AFC Hornchurch vs Kingstonian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
WOR
0 - 6
HOR
59%
20%
21%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
HOR
2 - 2
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
MER
1 - 2
HOR
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2019 |
HOR
1 - 2
BIL
21%
22%
58%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
HOR
2 - 2
DAG
19%
24%
57%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Kingstonian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
KIN
3 - 3
MAR
30%
25%
46%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
WIN
1 - 1
KIN
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
KIN
0 - 0
CRA
20%
22%
59%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
GRA
5 - 3
KIN
48%
23%
30%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
WHI
1 - 2
KIN
53%
23%
24%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |