AFC Hornchurch vs Eastbourne Borough analysis

AFC Hornchurch Eastbourne Borough
50 ELO 46
4.4% Tilt 16.1%
4146º General ELO ranking 3842º
171º Country ELO ranking 150º
ELO win probability
64%
AFC Hornchurch
20%
Draw
16%
Eastbourne Borough

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
AFC Hornchurch
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
16%
Win probability
Eastbourne Borough
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AFC Hornchurch
-12%
+12%
Eastbourne Borough

ELO progression

AFC Hornchurch
Eastbourne Borough
Hampton & Richmond
Bath City
Tonbridge Angels
Torquay United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AFC Hornchurch
AFC Hornchurch
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Aug. 2024
HAM
Hampton & Richmond
1 - 3
AFC Hornchurch
HOR
25%
23%
52%
49 45 4 0
03 Aug. 2024
BIL
Billericay Town
2 - 0
AFC Hornchurch
HOR
26%
21%
53%
49 43 6 0
27 Jul. 2024
HOR
AFC Hornchurch
0 - 1
Barnet
BAR
31%
23%
47%
49 54 5 0
23 Jul. 2024
DUL
Dulwich Hamlet FC
1 - 3
AFC Hornchurch
HOR
18%
19%
62%
49 40 9 0
20 Jul. 2024
HOR
AFC Hornchurch
1 - 1
Braintree Town
BRA
40%
24%
36%
49 53 4 0

Matches

Eastbourne Borough
Eastbourne Borough
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Aug. 2024
EAS
Eastbourne Borough
1 - 1
Chesham United
CHE
36%
24%
40%
45 48 3 0
03 Aug. 2024
LEW
Lewes
1 - 2
Eastbourne Borough
EAS
28%
24%
48%
44 37 7 +1
30 Jul. 2024
AFT
AFC Totton
1 - 0
Eastbourne Borough
EAS
57%
22%
22%
44 48 4 0
27 Jul. 2024
EAS
Eastbourne Borough
2 - 0
Charlton Athletic U21
CHA
39%
22%
40%
44 44 0 0
20 Jul. 2024
EAS
Eastbourne Borough
4 - 2
Croydon Athletic
CRO
82%
12%
6%
44 18 26 0