AFC Hornchurch vs Dulwich Hamlet FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
WIN
2 - 3
HOR
15%
20%
65%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
HOR
0 - 0
BOG
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2019 |
HOR
4 - 4
OXF
36%
26%
39%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
OXF
1 - 1
HOR
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2019 |
HAR
1 - 1
HOR
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dulwich Hamlet FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
DUL
1 - 1
DAR
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
OXF
2 - 1
DUL
56%
22%
22%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 2
DUL
47%
25%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
DUL
2 - 2
CHI
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
DUL
0 - 1
BIL
40%
23%
37%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |