AFC Hornchurch vs Dover Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
37.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
HOR
1 - 1
BOR
36%
29%
35%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 1
HOR
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
HOR
2 - 1
LOW
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
HOR
3 - 1
BUR
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
HOR
2 - 1
LEA
60%
24%
17%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Dover Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
SUT
2 - 2
DOV
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
DOV
2 - 2
FAR
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
EBB
0 - 0
DOV
48%
23%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
WES
1 - 1
DOV
29%
24%
47%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
DOV
2 - 2
MAI
68%
20%
13%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |