AFC Hornchurch vs Cray Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
KIN
1 - 2
HOR
6%
15%
79%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
HOR
2 - 0
BOW
84%
12%
4%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 2
HOR
14%
20%
66%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
HOR
1 - 0
BIL
76%
16%
9%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
HOR
3 - 2
HOR
18%
21%
60%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Cray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
HAR
2 - 2
CRA
28%
25%
47%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CRA
2 - 0
KIN
84%
10%
5%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
HER
3 - 5
CRA
25%
22%
53%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
CRA
1 - 0
COR
85%
10%
5%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ENF
1 - 1
CRA
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |