AFC Hornchurch vs Carshalton Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
HAM
2 - 2
HOR
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
KIN
2 - 0
HOR
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
HOR
2 - 3
WIN
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
AVE
0 - 2
HOR
16%
19%
65%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 1
HOR
32%
24%
43%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Carshalton Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
3 - 1
HOR
57%
22%
22%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 0
COR
76%
14%
10%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
BOG
2 - 1
CAR
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BED
2 - 0
CAR
17%
19%
65%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | -3 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
EAS
1 - 2
CAR
29%
23%
48%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |