AFC Hornchurch vs Bath City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
37.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
FAR
1 - 1
HOR
59%
21%
20%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
HOR
1 - 1
STA
47%
27%
26%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
TON
1 - 0
HOR
49%
23%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
HOR
0 - 2
MAI
42%
27%
31%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
HOR
1 - 1
SUT
31%
28%
41%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Bath City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
HAV
2 - 1
BAT
62%
20%
18%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
DOV
2 - 0
BAT
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
BAT
1 - 1
WHI
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
EAS
0 - 3
BAT
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
BAT
3 - 0
TON
44%
24%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |