Amsterdam FC DWS vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amsterdam FC DWS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1965 |
GRO
0 - 0
DWS
36%
25%
39%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
DWS
2 - 1
ADO
61%
21%
19%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1965 |
FOR
1 - 3
DWS
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1965 |
HER
1 - 0
DWS
35%
23%
42%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
DWS
3 - 1
NAC
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1965 |
WIL
1 - 3
SPA
54%
24%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
HER
0 - 3
WIL
49%
22%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1965 |
WIL
1 - 0
GAE
54%
22%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1963 |
MUD
6 - 1
WIL
74%
14%
11%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1963 |
WIL
1 - 1
MUD
42%
22%
37%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |