AFC Bournemouth vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
BOU
4 - 0
LUT
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
WHU
4 - 0
BOU
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
BHA
2 - 0
BOU
32%
26%
42%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
BOU
1 - 1
ARS
25%
23%
52%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
BOU
0 - 1
BUR
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
WAT
3 - 3
TRA
82%
13%
5%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
WAT
2 - 1
WOL
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
WAT
3 - 0
ASV
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
SHE
1 - 1
WAT
44%
27%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
WAT
2 - 0
MUD
22%
25%
53%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |