AFC Bournemouth vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
BOU
2 - 1
QPR
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
BIR
2 - 4
BOU
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
BOU
4 - 1
LEE
48%
26%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 1
BOU
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 0
BOU
43%
27%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 1
REA
31%
27%
42%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
REA
1 - 1
HUR
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
REA
1 - 3
BAR
73%
18%
10%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
BIR
1 - 2
REA
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
REA
0 - 0
DER
52%
24%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |