AFC Bournemouth vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
12.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
BOU
4 - 1
BRA
47%
27%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
MAC
0 - 2
BOU
29%
26%
45%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
EXE
1 - 3
BOU
55%
24%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
BOU
0 - 0
POR
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
BOU
2 - 0
ALD
45%
26%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
NOT
0 - 1
GIL
26%
27%
47%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
NOT
1 - 1
STA
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
NOT
0 - 2
LUT
35%
28%
37%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
STF
3 - 2
NOT
55%
25%
20%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
DAR
1 - 0
NOT
64%
22%
14%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |