AFC Bournemouth vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2001 |
BRI
1 - 0
BOU
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
BOU
0 - 2
BRE
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
WYC
1 - 1
BOU
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2001 |
BOU
2 - 0
WIG
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2001 |
BOU
3 - 2
OLD
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2001 |
NOT
2 - 2
BHA
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
NOT
3 - 4
REA
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
STO
1 - 0
NOT
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
NOT
0 - 1
WYC
52%
25%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
OLD
4 - 1
NOT
50%
25%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |