FA Cup 1/32
Global 2-2
AFC Bournemouth vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
29.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1991 |
BOU
2 - 1
BRE
39%
25%
37%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1991 |
BOU
1 - 2
MID
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1991 |
MID
1 - 1
BOU
72%
17%
11%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1991 |
BOU
4 - 1
CAR
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
CAR
3 - 2
BOU
66%
19%
15%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1992 |
SOU
4 - 0
NEW
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1991 |
NEW
2 - 1
BRO
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1991 |
NEW
0 - 1
MID
49%
26%
24%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1991 |
PLY
2 - 0
NEW
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1991 |
BHA
2 - 2
NEW
51%
25%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |