AFC Bournemouth vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
STO
1 - 2
BOU
55%
23%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
TOT
1 - 0
BOU
79%
14%
7%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
BOU
0 - 0
LEI
34%
25%
42%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
EVE
2 - 1
BOU
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
BOU
1 - 0
BHA
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
MID
0 - 1
CAR
47%
28%
25%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 2
MID
36%
28%
37%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
MID
2 - 2
BRE
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
MID
0 - 1
NOR
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
FUL
1 - 1
MID
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |