AFC Bournemouth vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
WHU
4 - 0
BOU
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
BHA
2 - 0
BOU
32%
26%
42%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
BOU
1 - 1
ARS
25%
23%
52%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
BOU
0 - 1
BUR
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
CHL
0 - 1
BOU
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
MIL
3 - 1
LUT
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
BRI
3 - 0
LUT
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
LUT
3 - 3
FUL
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
LUT
0 - 1
SWA
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
PNE
2 - 1
LUT
56%
23%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |