AFC Bournemouth vs Hereford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
BOU
0 - 2
WAL
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
BOU
1 - 4
WBA
17%
23%
60%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
CUM
2 - 1
BOU
44%
25%
30%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
BOU
1 - 3
STE
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
BOU
2 - 0
SHW
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
BRO
0 - 0
HER
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
ASV
2 - 0
HER
83%
12%
5%
|
52 | 87 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
AFC
1 - 1
HER
68%
20%
13%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
HER
0 - 4
MAC
41%
27%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
HER
0 - 3
MOR
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |