AFC Bournemouth vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
BOU
1 - 0
BRI
63%
21%
17%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
WAT
1 - 1
BOU
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 1
BOU
25%
25%
50%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
BOU
0 - 0
QPR
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
COV
1 - 3
BOU
19%
24%
57%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
DER
1 - 1
CAR
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
NTT
1 - 1
DER
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
HUR
1 - 0
DER
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
DER
0 - 1
WAT
27%
27%
47%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
NOR
0 - 1
DER
59%
22%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |