AFC Bournemouth vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
HAR
2 - 1
BOU
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
BOU
1 - 1
COL
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
RUS
0 - 3
BOU
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2004 |
BOU
1 - 2
BPO
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
SHW
0 - 2
BOU
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
CHE
0 - 3
STO
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
BRE
1 - 1
CHE
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
CHE
4 - 4
GRI
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2004 |
CHE
1 - 2
COL
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
NOT
1 - 1
CHE
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |