AFC Bournemouth vs Chester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
DON
1 - 1
BOU
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
BOU
3 - 2
BRE
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2004 |
BOU
2 - 2
HUR
59%
23%
19%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
BOU
2 - 1
SWI
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2004 |
TRA
2 - 0
BOU
56%
24%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
CHE
0 - 1
LIN
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
MAC
1 - 2
CHE
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2004 |
ROC
2 - 2
CHE
50%
25%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
CHE
1 - 1
SCU
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2004 |
SOU
1 - 0
CHE
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |