AFC Bournemouth vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
BOU
0 - 1
BOR
83%
12%
5%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 1
BOU
19%
24%
58%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
BOU
0 - 1
HUL
69%
19%
13%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
LUT
3 - 2
BOU
27%
25%
48%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
YEO
1 - 3
BOU
8%
17%
76%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
BIR
1 - 2
SHE
23%
26%
51%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
DER
2 - 2
BIR
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
BIR
2 - 2
POS
41%
26%
34%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
BIR
2 - 1
BAR
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
FUL
6 - 2
BIR
73%
19%
8%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | -1 |