AFC Bournemouth vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
5.5%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
BOU
1 - 2
SHW
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
REA
3 - 1
BOU
25%
25%
50%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
BOU
2 - 1
CRA
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
DER
1 - 0
BOU
17%
23%
60%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
BOU
0 - 1
LUT
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
WYC
0 - 0
BIR
49%
27%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
BIR
1 - 1
COV
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
BIR
0 - 1
PNE
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
MID
0 - 1
BIR
60%
25%
15%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
MAC
3 - 0
BIR
92%
6%
2%
|
60 | 93 | 33 | 0 |